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Semester: | 7th | - Lecturing: | 2 | ECTS: | 4 |
Course Type: | Elective | - Practical | 1 | Prerequisites: | - |
Course Code: | E7203 | - Laboratory | - | Expected | Y3203 |
eClass URL | ➽ | Total Hours of | - |
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Earthquake Prediction is the only elective course where the efforts to date to identify earthquake precursors are presented. These precursors may lead to the a priori knowledge of upcoming seismic activity, i.e. to earthquake prediction.
Long-term, medium-term and short-term earthquake prediction. Minimization of effects and protection measures; Earthquake Early Warning Systems; Seismic cycle. Statistical forecast and estimation of the probability of occurrence of a strong earthquake. Precursory phenomena, mechanisms of deformation of the Earth's crust – dilatation theory; Seismic zones, extreme values method, seismic gaps (type A and B), seismic quiescence, chaos theory; Seismic anisotropy and temporal changes of shear-wave splitting parameters in tectonic and volcanic environments; Foreshocks, migration of seismic activity, variations of the seismic wave’s velocity; Ground deformation maps, tsunamis, groundwater level and temperature changes, electromagnetic field fluctuations, chemical changes and radon release; Changes in seismic activity in space and time, methods of estimating static stress changes, models of decelerating ‐ accelerating seismicity; Application of earthquake prediction methods in volcanic environments.